Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.843884 0.985519 1.143356 1.332269 1.552251 1.800365 2.101539
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.604570 0.788591 1.016955 1.321130 1.715812 2.210929 2.879918
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.477029 0.673321 0.936327 1.314403 1.844287 2.561265 3.606813
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.398829 0.600243 0.887456 1.326723 1.982126 2.925076 4.387933
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.327033 0.520300 0.811157 1.280500 2.019717 3.141180 4.976555
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.302108 0.505019 0.825394 1.367642 2.263803 3.689004 6.135074
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.256939 0.449431 0.767007 1.328543 2.298398 3.908798 6.795675
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.219264 0.399986 0.710528 1.282324 2.311035 4.088736 7.406508
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.189314 0.359200 0.662447 1.242380 2.326314 4.270660 8.038684
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.173036 0.340676 0.650812 1.265424 2.456098 4.668064 9.108991
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.166491 0.339444 0.670413 1.348760 2.708166 5.318531 10.737251
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.155486 0.327777 0.668302 1.389055 2.880931 5.837615 12.174123
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.141594 0.308768 0.650163 1.396691 2.993363 6.260532 13.492105
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.127456 0.287286 0.624288 1.385052 3.065071 6.611801 14.713534
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.115524 0.268819 0.602138 1.378002 3.144922 6.988786 16.039485
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.106601 0.255779 0.589900 1.390916 3.269957 7.477513 17.677739
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.094295 0.233102 0.553068 1.342466 3.248317 7.637303 18.583072
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.092652 0.235668 0.574535 1.433807 3.566221 8.610366 21.535271
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.082921 0.216913 0.543102 1.392824 3.559313 8.820771 22.665830
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.073897 0.198660 0.510483 1.344378 3.527186 8.965808 23.652175
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.066243 0.182883 0.481972 1.302509 3.506055 9.134893 24.722456
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.062585 0.177288 0.478795 1.326663 3.660699 9.768275 27.098385
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.062022 0.180127 0.498120 1.414015 3.996492 10.913628 31.008820